The Latest Stress Test

The Fed recently tested how the top banks would perform in a meltdown scenario

REAL Q1 2012

Real GDP growth 3%

Unemployment rate 8.3%

Inflation rate 2.9%

Home price index 137

Dow Jones index 12,803

THE FED’S SCENARIO Q1 2012

Real GDP growth -8%

Unemployment rate 10.6%

Inflation rate 1.8%

Home price index 132

Dow Jones index 7,576%

The top and bottom performers in the stress tests as measured by change in net income

REAL Q1 2012

American Express +4.8%

BNY Mellon +1.6%

State Street +0.8%

THE FED’S SCENARIO Q1 2012

KeyCorp -3.3%

SunTrust -3.3%

Ally -5.2%

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